Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.058348 0.068122 0.079006 0.092022 0.107164 0.124225 0.144912
2025-10-12 0.043616 0.056492 0.072346 0.093296 0.120256 0.153797 0.198728
2025-10-19 0.034697 0.048660 0.067227 0.093709 0.130517 0.179901 0.251277
2025-10-26 0.029100 0.043567 0.064059 0.095178 0.141253 0.207011 0.308151
2025-11-02 0.025416 0.040262 0.062469 0.098065 0.153718 0.237486 0.373408
2025-11-09 0.021195 0.035317 0.057500 0.094822 0.156086 0.252791 0.417392
2025-11-16 0.018457 0.032205 0.054781 0.094476 0.162582 0.274831 0.474364
2025-11-23 0.016135 0.029380 0.052044 0.093549 0.167736 0.294985 0.530433
2025-11-30 0.014644 0.027746 0.051040 0.095350 0.177624 0.324073 0.605338
2025-12-07 0.012979 0.025535 0.048680 0.094318 0.182159 0.344091 0.666234
2025-12-14 0.011366 0.023177 0.045711 0.091686 0.183256 0.357774 0.716754
2025-12-21 0.009988 0.021075 0.042934 0.089011 0.183824 0.370341 0.766420
2025-12-28 0.009279 0.020254 0.042606 0.091264 0.194668 0.404554 0.864496
2026-01-04 0.008497 0.019168 0.041602 0.091995 0.202502 0.433749 0.956257
2026-01-11 0.007769 0.018094 0.040476 0.092297 0.209431 0.461853 1.049294
2026-01-18 0.007215 0.017328 0.039904 0.093724 0.218971 0.496613 1.161343
2026-01-25 0.006821 0.016872 0.039958 0.096563 0.232038 0.540632 1.299924
2026-02-01 0.006060 0.015433 0.037570 0.093369 0.230649 0.551820 1.363543
2026-02-08 0.005564 0.014575 0.036436 0.093028 0.236007 0.579232 1.469391
2026-02-15 0.005088 0.013699 0.035143 0.092115 0.239827 0.603400 1.570329
2026-02-22 0.004803 0.013278 0.034923 0.093889 0.250629 0.645841 1.722678
2026-03-01 0.004406 0.012500 0.033694 0.092872 0.254078 0.670305 1.831710
2026-03-08 0.003977 0.011575 0.031962 0.090280 0.253016 0.683077 1.911431